TY - JOUR AU - Jang, Sangguk PY - 2020/12/31 Y2 - 2024/03/28 TI - A study on the need to develop a next-generation K9 through opportunity-threat analysis JF - Journal of Advances in Military Studies JA - J. Adv. Mil. Stud. VL - 3 IS - 3 SE - DO - 10.37944/jams.v3i3.93 UR - https://journal.idap.re.kr/index.php/JAMS/article/view/93 SP - 25-42 AB - <!--StartFragment--><div id="hwpEditorBoardContent" class="hwp_editor_board_content" data-jsonlen="6388" data-hjsonver="1.0"><!--[data-hwpjson]{"documentPr": {"di": "","dp": {"dn": "test.hwp","ta": 1,"d1": 5,"d2": 1,"dv": 0,"dr": 1,"do": 1,"vj": "1.1","an": "Hancom Office Hangul","av": "10, 0, 0, 10141","ao": "WIN","ab": "32","ar": "LE","as": "Windows_8"},"dis": false,"ds": {"ti": "","la": "ko","cr": "","su": "","de": "","cd": "2020-12-02T10:18:13.501Z","md": "1601-01-01T09:00:00.000Z","pd": "1601-01-01T09:00:00.000Z","ke": ""}},"dh": {"do": {"pa": 1,"fo": 1,"en": 1,"pi": 1,"tb": 1,"eq": 1},"fo": [ ],"cd": {"tp": 0,"lc": {"af": false,"ui": false,"fu": false,"dn": false,"ul": false,"el": false,"at": false,"tq": false,"da": false,"dw": false,"dj": false,"bc": false,"bu": false,"al": false,"ab": false,"ap": false,"an": false,"aa": false,"ds": false,"de": false,"as": 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방사포 등에 대한 대응능력이 부족하며, K9 자주포의 진부화에 따른 전력공백 발생이 우려되고, 미래 초장사정 전략대포 개발을 위한 핵심기술 개발이 제한된다. 따라서, 본 연구는 OT분석을 통해서 차기자주포(K9F)의 개발 필요성을 제시하였고, 화포개발국의 선도적 지위를 유지하면서 지속적인 방산수출이 증대될 것으로 기대된다."}]}]}},"sl": { },"cs": {"01D6C8490376231000000000": {"cc": 2,"ci": 1936024420,"td": 0,"tv": false,"sc": 1134,"ts": 8000,"ms": "","os": "","gl": 0,"gc": 0,"gw": false,"ns": 0,"np": 0,"ni": 0,"nt": 0,"ne": 0,"hh": false,"hf": false,"hm": false,"fb": false,"hb": false,"fi": false,"hi": false,"hp": false,"he": false,"sl": false,"lr": 0,"lc": 0,"ld": 0,"ls": 0,"pp": {"ls": false,"wi": 59528,"he": 84188,"gt": 0,"ml": 8504,"mr": 8504,"mt": 5668,"mb": 4252,"mh": 4252,"mf": 4252,"mg": 0},"fn": {"at": 0,"au": "","ap": "","ac": ")","as": false,"ll": -1,"lt": 1,"lw": 1,"lc": 0,"sa": 850,"sb": 567,"st": 283,"nt": 0,"nn": 1,"pp": 0,"pb": false},"en": {"at": 0,"au": "","ap": "","ac": ")","as": false,"ll": -4,"lt": 1,"lw": 1,"lc": 0,"sa": 850,"sb": 567,"st": 0,"nt": 0,"nn": 1,"pp": 0,"pb": false},"pb": [{"ty": 0,"bf": "01D6C84903764A2000000003","tb": true,"hi": false,"fi": false,"fa": 0,"ol": 1417,"or": 1417,"ot": 1417,"ob": 1417},{"ty": 1,"bf": "01D6C84903764A2000000003","tb": true,"hi": false,"fi": false,"fa": 0,"ol": 1417,"or": 1417,"ot": 1417,"ob": 1417},{"ty": 2,"bf": "01D6C84903764A2000000003","tb": true,"hi": false,"fi": false,"fa": 0,"ol": 1417,"or": 1417,"ot": 1417,"ob": 1417}],"mp": [ ]},"01D6C8490376231000000001": {"cc": 2,"ci": 1668246628,"ty": 0,"la": 0,"co": 1,"ss": true,"sg": 0,"lt": 0,"lw": 0,"lc": 0,"cs": [ ]}},"bi": [ ],"bidt": { }}--></div><p>This study aims to highlight the need to develop a next-generation K9 through opportunity-threat (OT) analysis. In doing so, it considered the state of the security of the four major powers in Northeast Asia, new threats from North Korea, as well as the advanced science and technology engendered by the fourth industrial revolution. Finally, it considered defense reform and the worldwide development trend of self-propelled artillery. Opportunity factors include the guarantee of a “Ground Operations Command-Army Corps”-focused operational environment, expanded counterfire warfare system, and the development of export-oriented artillery while maintaining a leading position as a developing country. Additionally, the threat factors include an insufficient response capability to the new large-caliber multiple rocket launchers of North Korea, and possible deficiencies in combat power owing to the obsolescence of K9. Moreover, imposing limitations on the development of critical technologies focused on developing ultra-long-range strategic strike cannon artillery constitutes a threat. Therefore, this study highlights the need to develop a next-generation K9 through OT analysis, and is expected to increase defense exports by maintaining the country's lead in artillery development.</p> ER -