A study on the need to develop a next-generation K9 through opportunity-threat analysis

Abstract

This study aims to highlight the need to develop a next-generation K9 through opportunity-threat (OT) analysis. In doing so, it considered the state of the security of the four major powers in Northeast Asia, new threats from North Korea, as well as the advanced science and technology engendered by the fourth industrial revolution. Finally, it considered defense reform and the worldwide development trend of self-propelled artillery. Opportunity factors include the guarantee of a “Ground Operations Command-Army Corps”-focused operational environment, expanded counterfire warfare system, and the development of export-oriented artillery while maintaining a leading position as a developing country. Additionally, the threat factors include an insufficient response capability to the new large-caliber multiple rocket launchers of North Korea, and possible deficiencies in combat power owing to the obsolescence of K9. Moreover, imposing limitations on the development of critical technologies focused on developing ultra-long-range strategic strike cannon artillery constitutes a threat. Therefore, this study highlights the need to develop a next-generation K9 through OT analysis, and is expected to increase defense exports by maintaining the country's lead in artillery development.